Rafe Champion’s chapterwise review of Climate Change The Facts 2017

Rafe Champion’s chapterwise review of Climate Change The Facts 2017

Over at Catallaxy Files, the estimable Rafe Champion has embarked on a chapter by chapter appreciation of the Climate Change The Facts 2017, which is published by the IPA and Connor Court Publishing and available here. Rafe’s posts invite further consideration of the issues raised, and much of value can also be found in the accompanying comments threads.

Rafe himself has many good things to say on the uses and abuses of the scientific method, and has defended and explored the approach of Sir Karl Popper through a range of accessible publications which can be purchased from Amazon in paperback and ebook, here.

An overview of Rafe’s approach to the book is in this  this post, A carbon-constrained future? Climate Science: The Facts

The chapter headings of the book appear below, followed by, where available, an extract of Rafe’s commentary and a link to the relevant post.

1 The Extraordinary Resilience of Great Barrier Reef Corals, and Problems with Policy Science

Professor Peter Ridd

That means that the extra half a billion allocated to save the reef is just a piece of virtue -signalling by the Turnbull government at our expense. Of course it is an ill wind that blows nobody any good and a deal of good will fall to the marine scientists at James Cook.

Peter Ridd and the Death of Science

Peter Ridd and the death of science continued

2 Ocean Acidification: Not Yet a Catastrophe for the Great Barrier Reef

Dr John Abbot & Dr Jennifer Marohasy

Looking at the “acidification” that causes so much alarm and comment, it turns out to be a shift that is very small compared with the natural variation recorded daily, seasonally and geographically. It would be more appropriately called neutralization. Daily variations can range from 9.4 to 7.5 and there are seasonal variations which exceed the margins in the order of 0.1 or 0.2 that prompt “alarm”.

The Great Barrier Reef and neutralization

3 Understanding Climate Change in Terms of Natural Variability

Dr Nicola Scafetta

4 The Role of the Moon in Weather Forecasting

Ken Ring

Ken Ring wrote a chapter on “The Role of the Moon in Weather Forecasting”. He learned the hard way, coached by Maori fishermen on the wild east coast of New Zealand where he set fishing nets every day for ten years. He was lucky that he got interested just as the moon was entering a period when the three main cycles were aligned and the effects were more defined than usual. The three cycles are the phase, the perigee and the declination.

The moon and the weather

5 Creating a False Warming Signal in the US Temperature Record

Anthony Watts

“He provided some graphic examples of the way the data are misleading. The Chicago O’Hare International Airport became the busiest port in the world in 2014, a big change from the time it was the Orchard Place/Douglas Field. The initials ORD persist as the International Civil Aviation Organization identifier. It was surrounded by farmlands for miles until over the decades it morphed into suburban megacomplex of concrete and tarmac. The average annual temperature increased by 2.35C per century from 1961 to 2013 but the method of measurement did not change while the immediate surrounds of the weather station changed out of recognition.” 

Watts on the US temperature record

6 It was Hot in the USA – in the 1930s

Tony Heller & Dr Jennifer Marohasy

“The bottom line of Chapter 6 of Climate Science: The Facts 2017 is that the frequency, extent and duration of US heat waves have declined since the 1930s and the adjusted NASA record is false.”

It was really hot in the 1930s

7 Taking Melbourne’s Temperature

Dr Tom Quirk

“The point of the paper is to explain why there was a jump of 0.6C recorded after 1998. This is attributed to a combination of the urban heat island effect (indicated by the difference of 0.6 compared with the country town of Laverton) and specific factors affecting the microclimate in La Trobe Street.”

Inflated temperature record in Melbourne

8 Mysterious Revisions to Australia’s Long Hot History

Joanne Nova

9 The Homogenisation of Rutherglen

Dr Jennifer Marohasy

10 Moving in Unison: Maximum Temperatures from Victoria, Australia

Dr Jennifer Marohasy & Dr Jaco Vlok

11 A Brief Review of the Sun–Climate Connection, with a New Insight

Concerning Water Vapour 163

Dr Willie Soon & Dr Sallie Baliunas

12 The Advantages of Satellite-Based Regional and Global Temperature

Monitoring 178

Dr Roy W Spencer

13 Carbon Dioxide and Plant Growth

Dr Craig D. Idso

14 The Poor Are Carrying the Cost of Today’s Climate Policy

Dr Matt Ridley

Essentially, the poor pay for the virtue-signalling of the rich.

Matt Ridley on climate policy and the poor

Ridley went on to criticise biodiesel programs and the promotion of diesel cars. Then he mentioned one of the most outlandish schemes – the clearing of forests on the west coast of the US to convert into wood pellets to burn in British furnaces instead of coal to generate electricity.

More on the human disasters of the war on CO2

15 The Impact and Cost of the 2015 Paris Climate Summit, with a Focus on US Policies

Dr Bjørn Lomborg

The most powerful case against the war on CO2 is to accept some of the premises of the alarmists and show that even by their own standards the emission control policies make no sense in the light of cost/benefit analysis. Bjorn Lomborg can be described as a “lukewarm alarmist” because he considers that warming will cause non-catastrophic problems in the somewhat distant future. Still his cost/benefit analysis points the need to adjust to the change rather than persisting with the current (failing) efforts to achieve a “carbon constrained” future.

Lomborg on the cost and benefits of the Paris Summit

16 Re-examining Papal Energy and Climate Ethics

By Paul Driessen

17 Free Speech and Climate Change

Simon Breheny

“Democrat Senators in the US have hounded firms and think tanks for information about their role in funding research and publicity related to climate policy. 22 think tanks were asked to provide information on their donors. Lawfare was waged against Mark Steyn in Canada by Michael Mann following some vigorous debate on their differences of opinion.”

Help wanted re attacks on climate sceptics

18 The Lukewarm Paradigm and Funding of Science

By Patrick J Michaels

At the technical level he explains how the computer models and cherry-picking of data have been used to exaggerate the amount of warming that we can expect. He notes that the pathology of science that Thomas Kuhn described as “normal science” has become distressingly common.

Michaels on lukewarming and the funding of science

Peer review is not working; see the East Anglia emails and copious reports around the water coolers, not to mention the alarms sounded by the editor of Lancet and others cited by Michaels and also by Ridd in this paper, notably John Ioannidis at Stanford.

Peter Ridd and the death of science continued

19 The Contribution of Carbon Dioxide to Global Warming

Dr John Abbot & Dr John Nicol

20 Carbon Dioxide and the Evolution of the Earth’s Atmosphere

Ian Plimer

21 The Geological Context of Natural Climate Change

Dr Bob Carter

22 Mass Death Dies Hard

Clive James

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