$60 Billion Saving On JobKeeper Must Not Be Spent But Instead Used To Reduce The Debt

$60 Billion Saving On JobKeeper Must Not Be Spent But Instead Used To Reduce The Debt

A daily email by free market think tank the Institute of Public Affairs, providing the latest economic data and policy measures for journalists, commentators and IPA members.

Daily IPA comment, attributable to Kurt Wallace, Research Fellow at the Institute of Public Affairs:

“While the downward revision of the number of people receiving the JobKeeper payment is welcome, the scale of government dependency remains significant and unsustainable. 54% of the labour force is either directly employed by Commonwealth and state governments or local councils, or is in receipt of the JobSeeker unemployment payment or the JobKeeper wage subsidy.”

“Reducing government dependence and getting Australians back to work in the productive, private sector of the economy will be a central challenge in the months ahead. To achieve this the government must start to refine and better target the JobKeeper payments, and cut red tape and reduce taxes to support small businesses.”

“The estimated $60 billion saving on the JobKeeper payment must not be spent but instead used to reduce the debt which is forecast to reach $1 trillion in three years’ time.”

Research prepared by IPA Research Fellows Kurt Wallace and Cian Hussey. 

Australia

  • 7,109 confirmed cases and 102 deaths. There are 501 active cases and 6,506 recoveries. There are 33 cases in hospital and 5 of those are in intensive care.
  • The Victorian government has announced further easing of restrictions.
    From 26 May

    • Public playgrounds, outdoor communal gym equipment, and skateparks will be reopened.

From 1 June

    • Private gatherings, public gatherings, weddings, religious services, increased to 20 people. Funerals increased to 50 people. Overnight stays in private residences will be allowed.
    • Restaurants, cafes, and pubs will be able to serve 20 people per space. Alcohol limited to meals only.
    • Real estate auctions and open houses will be allowed 20 people.
    • Beauty services will be allowed to open with up to 20 patrons.
    • Camping and accommodation venues allowed to open with no use of shared facilities.
    • Community facilities, swimming pools, museums, amusement parks, zoos, and non-contact outdoor sporting activities will be allowed to resume with up to 20 people per space with social distancing measures.

From 22 June further easing of restrictions will begin in addition to the previously announced increase from 20 to 50 people allowed in restaurants, cafes, and pubs

    • Community facilities, swimming pools, museums, amusement parks, zoos, and non-contact outdoor sporting activities will increase to 50 people per space with social distancing measures.
    • Gyms and other indoor sports centres will be allowed 20 people per undivided space and 10 people per group.
    • Indoor venues including cinemas, concert venues, and stadiums will be allowed up to 50 seated patrons per space.
  • The NSW government has announced that restaurants, cafes, and pubs will be allowed to serve up to 50 people from 1 June. The previous plan was to increase the limit to 20 people.
  • The number of people receiving JobKeeper has been revised down from over 6 million people to 3.5 million people following the revelation of an administrative error by the ATO. The estimate of the total cost of JobKeeper is now forecast to be $70 billion, compared to the initial $130 billion estimate by Treasury when the program was announced in March.

Labour force paid by the government

53.6 per cent of the labour force is either directly employed by Commonwealth and state governments or local councils, or is in receipt of the JobSeeker unemployment payment or the JobKeeper wage subsidy:

  • Public sector: 2 million (15.1 per cent of labour force).
  • JobSeeker: 1.6 million (12.1 per cent of labour force).
  • JobKeeper: 3.5 million (26.4 per cent of labour force).
  • Total: 7.1 million (53.6 per cent of labour force).
  • Labour force: 13.24 million.

Schools

  • New South Wales – All schools will return to full-time face-to-face classes from May 25.
  • Victoria – A staggered return to classrooms will begin on May 26, with prep, grades one and two, and years 11 and 12 returning. Students in years three to 10 will return on June 9.
  • Queensland – From May 11 kindergarten, prep and years 1, 11 and 12 return. Remaining students planned to return from May 25.
  • Western Australia – Face-to-face teaching in place for all students, but attendance is optional until May 18.
  • South Australia – Schools reopened and students encouraged to attend.
  • Tasmania – Home-learning still in place, but schools open for parents who are unable to supervise their children.
  • Northern Territory – Returned to classrooms on April 20.
  • ACT – Plan to return during term 2. Primary school children, and year 7 and 12 students will return first.

Plans to lift restrictions

NSW

From 15 May

  • Home gatherings limited to a maximum of five visitors from separate households.
  • Gathering limit increased to 10 people for outdoor activities.
  • Weddings limited to 10 guests.
  • Funerals allowed 20 people indoors and 30 people outdoors.
  • Religious gatherings limited to 10 people.

From 1 June

  • Pubs, clubs and cafes can serve up to 50 patrons.
  • Intra-state travel restrictions are completely lifted.
  • Museums, art galleries and libraries can reopen.

Victoria

From 13 May

  • Home gatherings limited to a maximum of five visitors from separate households.
  • Gathering limit increased to 10 people for outdoor activities, and religious gatherings.
  • Weddings will be limited to 10 people plus the couple and celebrant.
  • Funerals allowed 20 people indoors and 30 people outdoors.
  • Food and drink businesses remain limited to takeaway and home delivery.

From 26 May

  • Public playgrounds, outdoor communal gym equipment, and skateparks will be reopened.

From 1 June

  • Cafes, restaurants, and pubs will be allowed to serve 20 people per enclosed area.
  • Private gatherings, public gatherings, weddings, religious services, increased to 20 people. Funerals increased to 50 people. Overnight stays in private residences will be allowed.
  • Real estate auctions and open houses will be allowed 20 people.
  • Beauty services will be allowed to open with up to 20 patrons.
  • Camping and accommodation venues allowed to open with no use of shared facilities.
  • Community facilities, swimming pools, museums, amusement parks, zoos, and non-contact outdoor sporting activities will be allowed to resume with up to 20 people per space with social distancing measures.

From 22 June

  • The restrictions on cafes, restaurants, and pubs will be raised to 50 people.
  • Community facilities, swimming pools, museums, amusement parks, zoos, and non-contact outdoor sporting activities will increase to 50 people per space with social distancing measures.
  • Gyms and other indoor sports centres will be allowed 20 people per undivided space and 10 people per group.
  • Indoor venues including cinemas, concert venues, and stadiums will be allowed up to 50 seated patrons per space.

From mid July

  • The restriction on cafes, restaurants, and pubs may be raised to 100 people.

Queensland

From 15 May

  • Home gatherings limited to a maximum of five visitors from separate households.
  • Gatherings allowed for up to 10 people for most outdoor non-contact activities, libraries, weddings, religious services.
  • Funerals up to 20 people indoors or 30 people outdoors.
  • Recreational travel allowed within 150km of home in metro areas. Travel up to 500km from home is permitted in regional areas, and travellers can stay in a location (accommodation, family or friend) overnight.
  • 10 person maximum for dining in at restaurants, cafes, pubs, licensed clubs, RSLs and hotels. 20 person limit for licensed venues in regional areas.

From 12 June

  • Gatherings of up to 20 people.
  • Funerals allowed up to 50 people.
  • Recreational travel limit raised to 250km. Camping and accommodation restrictions lifted, including caravan parks.

From 10 July

  • Gatherings of up to 100 people.

South Australia

From 11 May

  • Gathering limit increased to 10 people.
  • Funerals allowed up to 20 people indoors and 30 people outdoors.

From 22 May

  • Restaurants and cafes will be able to seat 20 patrons, half inside and half outside, and serve alcohol.

From 5 June

  • Pubs and clubs can reopen.

Western Australia

From 18 May

  • Public gathering limit increased to 20 people.
  • Weddings and funerals allowed up to 20 people indoors and 30 people outdoors.
  • Some regional travel bans remain in place.

Stage 3

  • Due to begin around four weeks after stage 2.

Tasmania

From 18 May

  • Gatherings increased to 10 people.
  • Households capped at 5 visitors.
  • 30 people allowed at outdoor funerals. Funerals increased to a 20 person limit on 11 May.

From 15 June

  • Gatherings increased to a 20 person limit.
  • Review of household visitor restrictions.
  • Funeral limit lifted to 50 people.

From 13 June

  • Gatherings maximum limit will be lifted to between 50 and 100 people.
  • Aged care homes will be allowed five visitors and multiple visits.

Northern Territory

From 1 May

  • Restrictions lifted on a host of indoor and outdoor recreational activities.

From 15 May

  • More restrictions lifted on businesses, including food services, gyms, and public libraries

From 5 June

  • Further easing of restrictions due.

ACT

From 9 May

  • Gathering limit lifted to a maximum of 10 people for both indoor and outdoor gatherings. Includes religious ceremonies, outdoor boot camps, and real estate open houses and auctions.
  • Home gatherings are limited to 10 people with the exception of where two households coming together is more than 10 people.
  • Weddings allowed 10 guests.
  • Funerals allowed 20 people indoors and 30 people outdoors.
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